U.S. Tax Outlook Post-Midterms

S&C Critical Insights

In this episode of S&C’s Critical Insights, Tax Group co-heads Isaac Wheeler and Davis Wang welcome the Firm’s Government Affairs Specialist, Tom Mullins, to discuss anticipated developments in U.S. tax policy following the midterm elections.

With Democrats and Republicans narrowly controlling the Senate and House, respectively, it is unlikely that the United States will see significant standalone tax policy passed in the next two years. However, progress is possible on a few fronts, including the Extenders Bill, which would extend expiring deadlines for a range of tax legislation, and the Secure 2.0 Act, which will give part-time workers better access to retirement benefits and increase the age when required minimum distributions must start. Some tax legislation could also become law by being included in a must-pass bill, such as the National Defense Authorization Act.

Most likely, changes to tax policy will occur at the Treasury- or IRS-level rather than through Congressional action, although political dynamics and other factors could slow policymaking in those arenas as well.

They also discuss how the new balance of power in Congress could make it more difficult for the United States to align with global tax initiatives, such as the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development’s Pillar II proposals for a global minimum corporate tax.