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Episode 37: Master Your Estimates: Understanding and Overcoming the Planning Fallacy
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Dr. Bryan Foltice द्वारा प्रदान की गई सामग्री. एपिसोड, ग्राफिक्स और पॉडकास्ट विवरण सहित सभी पॉडकास्ट सामग्री Dr. Bryan Foltice या उनके पॉडकास्ट प्लेटफ़ॉर्म पार्टनर द्वारा सीधे अपलोड और प्रदान की जाती है। यदि आपको लगता है कि कोई आपकी अनुमति के बिना आपके कॉपीराइट किए गए कार्य का उपयोग कर रहा है, तो आप यहां बताई गई प्रक्रिया का पालन कर सकते हैं https://hi.player.fm/legal।
Understanding and Overcoming the Planning Fallacy | Bryan Foltice Behavioral Finance Podcast
In this episode of the Bryan Foltice Behavioral Finance Podcast, host Bryan Foltice discusses the 'planning fallacy,' a common cognitive bias where individuals systematically underestimate the time, cost, and risks associated with tasks. Originating from the work of Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky in 1979, this fallacy affects everyone, including academics and professionals.
Bryan shares his personal experiences and insights on avoiding the pitfalls of the planning fallacy, emphasizing the importance of realistic time estimations, proper budgeting, and anticipation of potential risks to improve productivity and financial planning. Tune in to learn practical strategies to combat this common bias and enhance your decision-making skills.
00:00 Introduction to the Planning Fallacy
00:49 Personal Experience with the Planning Fallacy
01:47 Origins and Explanation of the Planning Fallacy
02:33 Impact of the Planning Fallacy in Academia
04:14 Optimism and Miscalibration
05:09 Real-Life Example: Summer Project
07:55 Budgeting and Financial Implications
10:13 Evaluating Risk and Setting Expectations
11:43 Strategies to Overcome the Planning Fallacy
14:53 Conclusion and Offerings
Bryan Foltice Behavioral Finance Website - www.bryanfoltice.com
Instagram - www.instagram.com/bryanfoltice
Linkedin - https://www.linkedin.com/in/bryan-foltice-2578a116/
Disclaimer: www.bryanfoltice.com/cv
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