@rundmcd is back to talk about evaluating risk! (AKA "Dave tells me the 3 pitchers I'm allowed to draft this year!") 11:20 Carlos Rodon 22:05 Jacob deGrom 31:15 Shane Bieber 38:50 Chris Sale 44:15 Luis Severino 54:05 Clevinger vs Verlander 1:14:43 Clayton Kershaw, and Dinelson Lamet "When I see PRP, I'm out." - Dave 1:27:30 Zac Gallen Find us on Tw…

Greg (@gjewett9) helps me size up EVERY team once again, as I do last minute cramming for my Main Event draft tomorrow. 2:05 Baltimore Orioles 3:20 Boston Red Sox 5:25 Chicago White Sox 5:50 Cleveland 9:45 Detroit Tigers 10:45 Houston Astros 12:20 KC Royals 13:50 LA Angels 15:10 Minnesota Twins 16:30 NY Yankees 17:10 Oakland A's 18:15 Seattle Marin…

Rob and I talk about his podcast and his leagues, and how we're building our teams in DC leagues and FAAB leagues. 06:20 Differences in drafting strategies for Draft and Hold (Draft Champions) leagues vs FAAB leagues 11:00 Catchers 16:45 Closers 22:45 Stolen Bases 31:25 Luis Robert 37:55 Keston Hiura and Javy Baez (and other swing and miss guys) 44…

Dave (@RunDMcD) shares what he's learned through years of experience, about how to assess players' risks in fantasy baseball. 1:45 Verlander, going into 2020 6:00 How to think about taking a guy off your board completely 9:35 Sale, Syndergaard, and Severino (don't draft guys who won't be playing) 11:45 Taillon (it can take a while to get back your …

@MattWi77iams and I discuss some players we think are going too early: 3:40 Jose Abreu around pick 30 and Luke Voit around pick 60 - Matt 8:25 Pablo Lopez around pick 100 - Drew 15:45 Walker Buehler around pick 20 - Matt 20:30 Kyle Lewis around pick 75 (but even at pick 100-120) - Drew 26:05 Randy Arozarena around pick 60 - Matt -- 32:20 an aside o…

Greg (@gjewett9) and I look at every MLB team and discuss the closer situation, as best we can tell in November. AMERICAN LEAGUE 1:30 Baltimore Orioles 3:40 Boston Red Sox 6:20 Chicago White Sox 8:25 Cleveland Indians 11:10 Detroit Tigers 13:50 Houston Astros 15:50 Kansas City Royals 18:10 Los Angeles Angels 20:10 Minnesota Twins 21:30 New York Yan…

Zack and I take a look at early ADP from Justin Mason's "2 Early Mock Drafts" and Zack's draft and hold leagues that are drafting for real already. 4:10 We gently poke fun at mock drafts and point out some shortcomings Then we discuss players we think are going too early (AVOIDS): 7:10 Mike Clevinger at ADP 61 (Zack) 19:40 Pete Alonso at ADP 53 (Dr…

Toby returns to talk about some up and coming players! 1:10 the keys to Toby's success in 2020 4:45 Off season prep begins! We start by discussing some lessons learned. Then we discuss some breakout players: 16:10 Corey Seager 27:40 Luke Voit 34:45 Teoscar Hernandez 42:05 Kyle Lewis 49:20 Dominic Smith 56:00 An aside about Stolen Bases 1:00:50 Aust…

Some thoughts on strike out rate, BABIP, and what they mean for batting average. Connect with me on Twitter @commonsensefbb!

Connect with me on Twitter @commonsensefbb!

Opening day didn't happen...yet. But @gjewett9 and I discuss baseball anyway! 2:00 Greg's current project 6:05 Bo Bichette - SS 20:35 Isiah Kiner-Falefa - C 25:35 Josh Bell - 1B (and a great call out by Greg, CJ Cron) 30:30 Jeff McNeil - 2B (with Cesar Hernandez call out by Greg) 35:35 Yandy Diaz - 3B 39:00 OFs (Judge, Eloy, Stanton, Soler, Franima…

Welcome back @zackroto! We start off talking some strategy: 1:40 Top SPs - Aces, Pocket Aces and how we draft them 5:10 The case for an Ace 10:50 Draft Champions vs FAAB leagues -- the point in the draft where strategy changes Then we discuss rounds 19 and 20: 18:05 Avoid AJ Pollock at 272 19:45 Avoid Joey Votto at 271 20:55 Buster Posey or Danny J…

Please welcome John (@MLBMovingAVG) as we discuss our draft process and talk some ADP. 1:15 It's all about PRICE. As John says, "You can't force your will on the market." 2:25 Drafting in reverse 7:15 Take the value (when you have players whose skills are close, going far apart) 10:50 Jim Cramer show up briefly 13:30 AJ Puk aka Axl Rose Then we get…

Please welcome Colin back to the podcast! He's on Twitter at @CWeatherwax13. We discuss some pitcher risers https://twitter.com/RyanBHQ/status/1229121960308690945 2:05 Elite SPs moving up 3:20 Jose Berrios up from ADP 95 (Nov) to 79 (Feb) 5:10 Edwin Diaz up from 140 to 116 8:30 Doolittle and Nick Anderson moving up Then we turn to some hitter riser…

Please welcome Max! He's @FreezeStats on Twitter. We talk about: 0:40 Max's blog and research 4:40 Players who earned more HR than they achieved 9:15 We consider what Dodger Stadium could do for Mookie Betts 14:50 "Not all barrels are created equal" (Launch angle and pulling the ball matter a ton) 20:25 Ozuna - example of a pull hitter who "earned"…

Please welcome Mike! Twitter: @SPStreamer First we take a quick look back at earlier rounds and some guys Mike targets and avoids: 1:40 Target Sonny Gray at 98 8:20 Target Carlos Santana at 144 10:35 Avoid Chris Paddack at 51 13:45 Avoid Keston Hiura at 42 Then we get into rounds 13 and 14: 19:00 Target Kenta Maeda (currently 184) 25:00 Target Hunt…

Big thanks to Matt (@MattWi77iams) for joining me to discuss a couple very full rounds of ADP! We discuss a few of Matt's #2020PlayerBreakdowns: 4:45 Lourdes Gurriel 11:30 Jeff McNeil 12:50 Projecting growth 15:50 Garrett Hampson 19:30 Max Kepler Then we look at players going in the 11th and 12th rounds (ADP 151 - 180). 30:15 Target: Corey Seager a…

I talk speed vs power. Let me know what you think on Twitter @commonsensefbb.

Please welcome Brian (@RuddHQ on Twitter) and enjoy our discussions about the following players! 1:25 Tyler Glasnow at ADP ~68 (4:35 vs Paxton or Woodruff) 6:50 Hector Neris at ~140 (10:25 vs Iglesias, Kimbrel, Jansen, and Diaz) 13:50 Yasiel Puig at ~115 (19:15 vs Benintendi, Mercado, and Luis Robert) 25:25 Rhys Hoskins at ~116 (33:05 vs Carlos San…

Please welcome Greg (https://twitter.com/gjewett9) and enjoy our conversation on all things Closers (and other RPs). Here's a link to his closer charts: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1YQLeAKTjBGGerTdKUMQHYhxfVHi73Y9eJcEGlFh7Lr0/edit#gid=20120022943:45 Josh Hader, Aroldis Chapman, Kirby Yates, Roberto Osuna -- The closest you can get to act…

Please welcome Mike! (https://twitter.com/Mike_Kurland) Mike and I discuss players we're avoiding or targeting at their current price in rounds 8 - 10 (in 15-team 5x5 roto).Targeting8:50 Yasiel Puig at 110 - Both Mike and Drew targeting9:25 Nicholas Castellanos at 113 - Both10:20 Trey Mancini at 108 - Both23:05 Lance Lynn at 128 - Mike (with bonus …

Please welcome Colin! (https://twitter.com/CWeatherwax13) Colin and I discuss players we're avoiding or targeting at their current price in rounds 5 - 7 (in 15-team 5x5 roto). Avoiding 2:10 Victor Robles at ADP 57 -- both Colin and Drew avoiding at this price 7:50 Luis Severino at ADP 59 -- Colin 11:45 Kris Bryant at 61 -- both 16:00 Josh Hader at …

Please welcome Zack! (Twitter.com/zackroto and Twitter.com/draftchampagne)Zack and I discuss players we're avoiding at their current price...Both Zack and Drew avoiding...13:45 Alex Bregman at ADP 10 ...and to some extent Arenado at ADP 14 and Freeman at ADP 15.44:45 Pete Alonso at ADP 30 and (Drew) Gleyber Torres at ADP 2955:00 Villar at ADP 36, a…

Jason and I discuss his work with Roster Resource and FanGraphs: https://www.fangraphs.com/roster-resource/offseason-tracker https://www.fangraphs.com/roster-resource/free-agent-tracker ...and discuss some teams and players! https://www.fangraphs.com/roster-resource/depth-charts/white-sox https://www.fangraphs.com/roster-resource/depth-charts/marin…

Today I talked with Toby of BatFlip Crazy about draft strategy -- specifically in NFBC Draft Champions (Draft and Hold) leagues. The format is 5x5 standard roto, 15 teams. I hope you enjoy our discussion! Hit me up on Twitter at https://twitter.com/commonsensefbb!

:10 Thanks @yancyeaton! 2:05 Catcher (Realmuto or wait) 4:10 Clarification: This is 15 team, standard 5x5 Roto. 4:25 First Base (Alonso vs Olson, Abreu, Bell, Mancini) 6:30 Second Base (Torres vs Escobar) 8:20 Shortstop (Tatis -- I mean he had about 80 games, not 80 PA's -- vs Anderson or Rosario) 10:50 Third Base (Bregman, Arenado, Rendon, or Deve…

0:00 Every major league baseball player is amazing. They made it! But in fantasy we have to value them vs each other. In this episode I identify some players that may be getting drafted too early, and point out some other players who you might want to draft later instead. 9:40 Closer Update (thoughts on the Will Smith signing) Let me know what you …

Closers I feel good about: https://twitter.com/commonsensefbb/status/1190047506689921026 Closer situations I'm avoiding: https://twitter.com/commonsensefbb/status/1190041723646480384 Let me know what you think!

I discuss my recent trip to AZ and the first 23 rounds of my first 2020 draft (draft and hold format)! Let me know what you think: https://twitter.com/commonsensefbb!

Lessons for 15-team roto! (@theNFBC main event style) 1:30 Lesson 1: Pitching volume over upside 4:20 Lesson 2: You can pick up certain categories through FAAB, but others, not so much 9:00 Lesson 3: Balance. Bully hitting, but also employ a "barbell" strategy with starting pitchers Let me know what you think: https://twitter.com/commonsensefbb!…

On this episode I am very excited to prevent Toby from Batflip Crazy! We discuss: 1:45 Justin Mason's Too-Early Mock Drafts 4:15 Draft Strategy 29:20 Hitters going too early (?) in mock drafts 56:45 Hitters going too late (?) in mock drafts 1:16:30 Pitchers going too early (?) in mock drafts 1:20:00 Pitchers going too late (?) in mock drafts 1:28:2…

Just some quick thoughts on how we should update our beliefs about players: hint — buy the skills, but realize they’re never completely stable. Hit me up on Twitter @commonsensefbb!

In this episode I ramble for a few minutes about roto categories and how I’m managing them as we go into the last two months of the season.

In this episode I describe why and how I use the statcast data on each player's Maximum Exit Velocity. I cover several players including Nolan Arenado, Jose Ramirez, Joey Votto, Paul Goldschmidt, and Bryce Harper. Find me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/commonsensefbb I'm always happy to answer baseball questions, and I love getting suggestions for…

A look at the NFBC second chance leagues and which players I think may be undervalued or overvalued. Check out the average draft pick in the NFBC drafts: https://nfc.shgn.com/adp/baseball (Instead of "All Drafts (Non-Auction" select "In Season") 2:30 First Base 5:30 Second Base 7:45 Shortstop 10:20 Third Base 13:30 Outfield 16:45 Pitcher Find me on…

0:35 Top 4 Bargains 6:55 Top 4 Overpays Find me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/commonsensefbb

0:15 Random Thoughts (Tyler Glasnow, Julio Urias, Kyle Tucker) 4:35 Making me look Smart / Stupid (Jose Peraza, Kenta Maeda) 8:00 Launch Angle Savants 17:55 Player Analysis - Joey Gallo 20:35 Player Analysis - Tyler Skaggs Find me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/commonsensefbb

0:40 Making me look smart / Making me look stupid (H Dozier and D Santana) Two players to consider selling 2:05 Jose Peraza 5:00 Kenta Maeda Pitchers who are turning my head 7:40 Chris Bassitt 10:30 Griffin Canning Find me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/commonsensefbb

0:45 You're making me look stupid/smart (Vogelbach, Bellinger, Cano, Votto) 4:20 Diving deeper into each batted ball with Statcast 5:40 Player analysis (Devers, Aguilar, Heyward, Chapman) 11:55 Pitching Thoughts Find me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/commonsensefbb

0:00 Intro to predicting results from small samples 1:30 Jose Ramirez 6:20 Jose Peraza 9:20 Other players some of you were worried about (Shaw, Nimmo, Votto, Cano, Betts, Correa, Bryant, Marte, Carpenter) 14:15 A couple players to add: Brandon Lowe and Hunter Dozier Find me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/commonsensefbb…

0:00 Intro 1:30 Cody Bellinger 5:15 Domingo Santana (I said .335...he's actually hitting .345!) 8:00 Tim Beckham 10:05 Dan Vogelbach 13:00 Tim Anderson 14:45 Trey Mancini

0:15 Rd 1 Yelich! 2:00 Rd 2 - Rd 5 Freeman / Bogaerts / G Sanchez / Robles 4:25 Rd 6 - Rd 12 J Turner / Pollock / A Rosario / Cano / Maeda -- SP1 in Round 10! / Strickland / Braun 7:00 Rd 13 - Rd 20 Urias / Burnes / Skaggs / McNeil / Soler / F Peralta / Chirinos / R Zimmerman 9:30 Rd 21 - 30 Caleb Smith / Whitley / Minor / Parker / B Lowe / Morales…

0:00 Intro and NFBC 0:50 Reasons 1 - 5 2:35 Reasons 6 - 10 Hit me up on Twitter with your feedback! https://twitter.com/commonsensefbb

0:00 Intro 1:10 Competitive Leagues 9:45 Resources! (Getting Baseball News) 12:30 Resources! (General Fantasy Analysis) 15:35 Resources! (Prospects) 18:25 Resources! (Twitter) 20:30 Tweet at me!